Control theory × AI × markets

Study dynamic systems.
Model uncertain markets.

Independent software research in optimal control, stochastic modelling and AI, explored through generic experiments with illustrative and synthetic market data.

Portfolio-system research model ILLUSTRATIVE CONTROL GEOMETRY
REFERENCE ROBUST SCENARIO POINT EXPANSION BASE STRESS PORTFOLIO RISK → EXPECTED RETURN →
illustrative portfolios regime-conditioned frontiers model-selected scenario point
CONSTRAINTS

Expected shortfall · Turnover · Liquidity · Drawdown

01Observe
02Model
03Evaluate

Research prototype · illustrative sample data. Generic, public output only—no individual client circumstances, personalized recommendations, investment advice, portfolio management, order reception or transmission, or execution.

Research focus Optimal control + AI Control systems · Illustrative market models
Research infrastructure Real-time market data State-of-the-art local compute

MARKET INTELLIGENCE

A wider field of view.

One research surface for studying market state, cross-asset conditions and news signals—with an AI layer that organizes illustrative information for model evaluation.

Market state monitor
DESIGN PREVIEW · SAMPLE DATA
GLOBAL EQUITIESConstructiveTrend
RATESRestrictivePolicy
FOREIGN EXCHANGEUSD firmRelative strength
COMMODITIESMixedBreadth
VOLATILITYModerateRisk state
SYSTEM STATE / 04Model synthesis

Balanced expansion

Trend appears constructive while cross-asset correlation and policy sensitivity produce a higher-sensitivity state in this sample model.

Trend persistence76
Volatility pressure42
Correlation risk58
Liquidity quality69

Illustrative model output—not a live signal.

NEWS SIGNALSAI-assisted triage
MACRO

Central-bank guidance shifts the expected rate path

Policy sensitivity · Rates · Equity duration

High relevance
EARNINGS

Forward revisions alter sector-level dispersion

Fundamentals · Breadth · Allocation

Monitor
RISK

Cross-asset correlation rises into the next session

Volatility · Hedging · Position limits

Model input

Example headlines for interface design only.

DATA COVERAGE
PricesFundamentalsMacro releasesRates curvesOptionsMarket news

Research prototype · illustrative sample data. Generic, public output only—no individual client circumstances, personalized recommendations, investment advice, portfolio management, order reception or transmission, or execution.

PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING

Probability, not certainty.

Research-grade forecasts should describe a conditional distribution—not pretend that one path is inevitable. Bands widen with horizon as uncertainty accumulates.

ILLUSTRATIVE MODEL OUTPUT

Conditional market-state projection

ILLUSTRATIVE · SAMPLE OUTPUT
FORECAST ORIGIN OBSERVED FORECAST HORIZON → NORMALIZED MARKET STATE t₀+1M +3M+6M
50% interval 80% interval 95% interval conditional median
METHODS

Bayesian state estimation

Markov regime transitions

Monte Carlo paths

Out-of-sample calibration

Research prototype · illustrative sample data. This generic, public example does not consider individual client circumstances or provide personalized recommendations, investment advice, portfolio management, order reception or transmission, or execution. Intervals represent model uncertainty under stated assumptions; they are not confidence guarantees.

01 / FRAMEWORK

Markets are dynamic systems.

We study markets as dynamic systems, using closed-loop methods to observe uncertainty, model hypothetical responses and evaluate how rules behave as conditions change.

01

Observe

Transform real-time data into a compact, measurable representation of market state.

  • State estimation
  • Regime detection
  • Signal reliability
02

Model

Formulate hypothetical allocation problems that balance stated objectives, uncertainty and test constraints.

  • Allocation models
  • Robust optimization
  • Model-predictive control
03

Evaluate

Use feedback and simulation to test model sensitivity, stability and responses to structural change.

  • Sensitivity analysis
  • Online learning
  • Closed-loop validation
CORE METHODS
Stochastic control State-space estimation Markov regime models Monte Carlo simulation Robust optimization Model-predictive control

02 / RESEARCH

Two connected research areas.

02 / MARKET MODELS

Probabilistic Market-Model Research

Generic research models estimate conditional distributions, uncertainty bands and regime probabilities for illustrative market scenarios.

Market models describe hypothetical outcomes. Portfolio-system experiments evaluate how candidate rules behave under stated assumptions.

Sensitivity analysisMarket-state estimationSimulation studies

03 / COMPANY SCOPE

We develop software and solve technical problems.

Reny Control is currently in a software research and prototyping phase. Portfolio optimization and probabilistic market modelling appear here only as generic, public research examples using illustrative, synthetic or sample data—not as services applied to individual client circumstances.

WHAT WE BUILD

Research software

  • 01Market-data acquisition and analytical software
  • 02Backtesting and model-development platforms
  • 03Generic probabilistic-modelling and simulation tools
  • 04Technical problem formulation and custom software engineering

Current work centres on software research and development. No client accounts, client assets or individualized investment profiles are used by the website.

WHAT WE DO NOT PROVIDE

Regulated investment services

  • 01Custody of client funds or securities
  • 02Discretionary management of customer portfolios
  • 03Personalized buy, sell or hold recommendations
  • 04Receiving, transmitting or executing client orders

Reny Control does not guarantee forecasts, performance or investment outcomes.

THE OPERATING PRINCIPLE

We develop and demonstrate research software. The website does not assess individual client circumstances, connect to brokerage accounts or act on a user’s behalf.

04 / ABOUT

Engineering discipline for uncertain markets.

RESEARCH LEAD A. Yigit Üngören ungoren@renycontrol.com ↗

Reny Control is an independent research initiative built on a deep foundation in optimal control theory and mathematics.

A. Yigit Üngören completed doctoral research focused on optimal control theory at the University of Michigan, with a minor in mathematics.

Its work combines rigorous modelling, high-performance computing and market data to investigate generic software methods for portfolio-system and market-model research.

No black-box promises. Every model output should be measurable, testable and explainable.

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